CAIN-42 invariant · E21

D28: repeated identical simulations are not independent confirmation

Held · CAIN-42 Evolution 21 -- Governed Open-Ended Intelligence Fabric

Last reviewed 2026-10-01

held   niche Prediction, world models & simulation

What this rule means

CAIN-42 must always satisfy: repeated identical simulations are not independent confirmation. It is one of 155 invariants checked for CAIN-42 Evolution 21 -- Governed Open-Ended Intelligence Fabric. An invariant is a rule the system may never break, whatever an agent or attacker does; the test suite tries to break it across many scenarios and records the result.

Recorded detail

[
 {
  "authority": "NONE",
  "confidence": 0.545455,
  "hypothesis": "h1",
  "independent_groups": 1,
  "independent_replications": 0,
  "observational_contradiction": 0,
  "observational_support": 0,
  "quality": "LOW_CONFIDENCE",
  "simulation_only": true,
  "third_party_reproductions": 0,
  "uncertainty": 0.909091
 }
]

Check it yourself

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Related rules

• D16: simulation remains simulation
• D17: counterfactual remains counterfactual
• D30: source multiplication cannot create truth
• D37: model promotion requires governance
• D47: invalidated knowledge propagates
• D49: superseded models cannot silently remain authoritative
• D68: causal metadata remains distinct from private reasoning
• D72: simulated claims remain simulated

← D27 · all 155 · D29 →